While there are just under two months to go before the July 31st trade deadline it is never too early to consider the Tigers options. As of of today it would appear as the Tigers will be buyers in the trade market. On June 1st the Tigers trail the Twins in the AL Central by 4 1/2 games, and are 4 1/2 games behind the wild card leading Yankees. The Tigers main area of focus would be improving their starting pitching.
As of today the top two starting pitchers who are or will be on the trading block start and end with Roy Oswalt and Cliff Lee. Both pitchers would force the Tigers to mortgage their future, leaving their cabinets bare. I would imagine both teams would demand one of the Tigers top starting pitching prospects, LHP Casey Crosby or RHP Jacob Turner, if not both. The Astros and Mariners would also request OF Wilkin Ramirez, OF Casper Wells, and RP Daniel Schlereth, be included in any deal.
Despite making a big splash during the offseason the Mariners have been underachievers, finding themselves in last place in their division. The Mariners are starved for hitting, and if they think they have no chance at resigning impending free agent Cliff Lee, they will be forced to swap him for prospects. Lee would be a dream scenario for the Tigers. Although the Tigers probably don’t have a strong enough farm system to offer a better trade than other contending teams Lee could be worth the gamble. Obviously this trade only makes sense if the Tigers are confident Lee would be interested in resigning. Comerica Park is tailor made for left handed pitching, yet the Tigers currently boast a starting rotation of five right handers. Lee has proven to have dominating stuff in both the AL and NL. On top of trading several of their top ten prospects the Tigers would also have to give Lee at least a four year $60 million contract extension at the end of the season.
Roy Oswalt has requested the rebuilding Astros trade him to a contender, preferably a NL team. While he is a high caliber talent, (a) I don’t think he would be interested in coming here (b) If the Tigers are going to jump into the sweepstakes and mortgage their future I would prefer to the pitcher to be left handed and (c) have experience pitching in the AL. I realize if you have outstanding stuff, you can switch from AL to NL or vice versa with no problem, just a preference. However I would prefer to make the gamble least risky as possible. A team trading for Oswalt might be able to obtain him for slightly less than Lee, because of him having 1 year and 15 million left from his last contract extension.
At the end of the day either player would be a huge gamble, mainly because of giving up Crosby and Turner. However if Tigers can prove they are a pitcher away from truly contending I wouldn’t be surprised to see Dombrowski make a move at the deadline. I hate to see the Tigers waste quality seasons from Verlander, but the Tigers have learned the hard way that they are not a team that can allow their payroll to balloon up past 100 million. The Tigers best mold of how to build their team has been perfected by the rival Minnesota Twins. The Twins have found ways to consistently build from within their farm system, and carefully choosing which players to build around and which players to trade away. Ideally it would be great for the Tigers to add an arm like Cliff Lee or Roy Oswalt, but it is simply not feasible for a mid market team. The Tigers would be wise to try to get the most out of the team they have, and focus their adjustments in the offseason, not with a blockbuster deal at the trade deadline.